Reader Comments

Profit Maximiser

by gold stone (2019-04-01)

Starting with two low Profit Maximiser Review cards pre-flop is a ballsy move. You're only a 24% complete the low. So even if you have ace, deuce, three times out of four there will be no low. Okay you get lucky on the flop and there are two new low cards now you're up to 69% that the hand will complete. Only one new low card on the flop and you're at 16% and should probably get out of the way.Teams that are coming off a game in which the ATS margin ended up less than 14 points are typically harder to handicap in the following week than teams that performed closer to expectations, for a number of reasons.Of course, there could be a hundred different factors that contributed to the lopsided result. Was either team under-prepared or injury riddled? Was the lines maker simply out to lunch on the game? Did turnovers play a large factor? Is this game a sign of things to come? And, even if this were to be the case, will the lines maker and betting public overreact to last week's showing and create even more uncertainty in the upcoming week?In actual fact, teams coming off a game in which the ATS margin was less than 14 are virtually 0.500 ATS since 1994, in the week following (1044-1030). Throw in one other simple statistic; however, and we suddenly have a situation that has been a consistent winner 15 years running.The stat I am talking about concerns the opponent involved in this game and more specifically, the number of Passing Attempts For (PAF) that they averaged coming in.If the opponent was sporting a season PAF average of less than 30, the other team suddenly becomes a spread-killer in the following week with a record of 145-92 (61.2%) ATS since 1994, good enough for a $4,380.00 profit when wagering $110 to win back $100 on each contest.Now, in order to begin to understand why this profitable situation exists, one must look closer at Passing Attempts For and what an average below 30 actually represents.